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This thesis provides a scientific prognosis of the expansion potential of onshore wind energy turbines in Brazil, based on current market conditions and future agendas in the energy market. This is accomplished by the assessment of relevant financial and legislative frameworks of the state of Ceará. The method for evaluating this potential is composed of research in literature and selected expert interviews. As a result, the planned expansion goals for 2020, formulated in 2013 are unlikely to be met. The impact of the newly introduced local content rule regarding the receiving of financial resources on the expansion potential depends on the local industry to sufficiently produce enough electricity for the national market. However, tax incentives supporting investments in equipment and services on a broadly basis. In the extensive and bureaucratic permission process, the environmental surveys and the mandatory grid connection will become increasingly difficult barriers to overcome in the future. Additionally, the ongoing insufficient grid infrastructure and the resultant ban from the long-term energy auctions slowing the implementation of wind farms and further development on a large scale. Exclusively for Ceará, the planned updated regional wind atlas can reveal additional locations for wind farms, therefore providing a positive effect on the expansion potential.

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